temperature distribution
Forecasting the Future with Yesterday's Climate: Temperature Bias in AI Weather and Climate Models
Landsberg, Jacob B., Barnes, Elizabeth A.
AI-based climate and weather models have rapidly gained popularity, providing faster forecasts with skill that can match or even surpass that of traditional dynamical models. Despite this success, these models face a key challenge: predicting future climates while being trained only with historical data. In this study, we investigate this issue by analyzing boreal winter land temperature biases in AI weather and climate models. We examine two weather models, FourCastNet V2 Small (FourCastNet) and Pangu Weather (Pangu), evaluating their predictions for 2020-2025 and Ai2 Climate Emulator version 2 (ACE2) for 1996-2010. These time periods lie outside of the respective models' training sets and are significantly more recent than the bulk of their training data, allowing us to assess how well the models generalize to new, i.e. more modern, conditions. We find that all three models produce cold-biased mean temperatures, resembling climates from 15-20 years earlier than the period they are predicting. In some regions, like the Eastern U.S., the predictions resemble climates from as much as 20-30 years earlier. Further analysis shows that FourCastNet's and Pangu's cold bias is strongest in the hottest predicted temperatures, indicating limited training exposure to modern extreme heat events. In contrast, ACE2's bias is more evenly distributed but largest in regions, seasons, and parts of the temperature distribution where climate change has been most pronounced. These findings underscore the challenge of training AI models exclusively on historical data and highlight the need to account for such biases when applying them to future climate prediction.
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Suffolk County > Boston (0.04)
- Europe > Russia (0.04)
- Asia > Russia (0.04)
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Fusion-Based Neural Generalization for Predicting Temperature Fields in Industrial PET Preform Heating
Alsheikh, Ahmad, Fischer, Andreas
Accurate and efficient temperature prediction is critical for optimizing the preheating process of PET preforms in industrial microwave systems prior to blow molding. We propose a novel deep learning framework for generalized temperature prediction. Unlike traditional models that require extensive retraining for each material or design variation, our method introduces a data-efficient neural architecture that leverages transfer learning and model fusion to generalize across unseen scenarios. By pretraining specialized neural regressor on distinct conditions such as recycled PET heat capacities or varying preform geometries and integrating their representations into a unified global model, we create a system capable of learning shared thermal dynamics across heterogeneous inputs. The architecture incorporates skip connections to enhance stability and prediction accuracy. Our approach reduces the need for large simulation datasets while achieving superior performance compared to models trained from scratch. Experimental validation on two case studies material variability and geometric diversity demonstrates significant improvements in generalization, establishing a scalable ML-based solution for intelligent thermal control in manufacturing environments. Moreover, the approach highlights how data-efficient generalization strategies can extend to other industrial applications involving complex physical modeling with limited data.
Revisiting Heat Flux Analysis of Tungsten Monoblock Divertor on EAST using Physics-Informed Neural Network
Wang, Xiao, Yan, Zikang, Si, Hao, Yang, Zhendong, Yang, Qingquan, Sun, Dengdi, Lyu, Wanli, Tang, Jin
Estimating heat flux in the nuclear fusion device EAST is a critically important task. Traditional scientific computing methods typically model this process using the Finite Element Method (FEM). However, FEM relies on grid-based sampling for computation, which is computationally inefficient and hard to perform real-time simulations during actual experiments. Inspired by artificial intelligence-powered scientific computing, this paper proposes a novel Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN) to address this challenge, significantly accelerating the heat conduction estimation process while maintaining high accuracy. Specifically, given inputs of different materials, we first feed spatial coordinates and time stamps into the neural network, and compute boundary loss, initial condition loss, and physical loss based on the heat conduction equation. Additionally, we sample a small number of data points in a data-driven manner to better fit the specific heat conduction scenario, further enhancing the model's predictive capability. We conduct experiments under both uniform and non-uniform heating conditions on the top surface. Experimental results show that the proposed thermal conduction physics-informed neural network achieves accuracy comparable to the finite element method, while achieving $\times$40 times acceleration in computational efficiency. The dataset and source code will be released on https://github.com/Event-AHU/OpenFusion.
Toward Developing Machine-Learning-Aided Tools for the Thermomechanical Monitoring of Nuclear Reactor Components
Machado, Luiz Aldeia, Leite, Victor Coppo, Merzari, Elia, Motta, Arthur, Ponciroli, Roberto, Ibarra, Lander, Charlot, Lise
Proactive maintenance strategies, such as Predictive Maintenance (PdM), play an important role in the operation of Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs), particularly due to their capacity to reduce offline time by preventing unexpected shutdowns caused by component failures. In this work, we explore the use of a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architecture combined with a computational thermomechanical model to calculate the temperature, stress, and strain of a Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR) fuel rod during operation. This estimation relies on a limited number of temperature measurements from the cladding's outer surface. This methodology can potentially aid in developing PdM tools for nuclear reactors by enabling real-time monitoring of such systems. The training, validation, and testing datasets were generated through coupled simulations involving BISON, a finite element-based nuclear fuel performance code, and the MOOSE Thermal-Hydraulics Module (MOOSE-THM). We conducted eleven simulations, varying the peak linear heat generation rates. Of these, eight were used for training, two for validation, and one for testing. The CNN was trained for over 1,000 epochs without signs of overfitting, achieving highly accurate temperature distribution predictions. These were then used in a thermomechanical model to determine the stress and strain distribution within the fuel rod.
- Europe > France > Pays de la Loire > Loire-Atlantique > Nantes (0.05)
- North America > United States > Idaho > Bonneville County > Idaho Falls (0.04)
- North America > United States > Pennsylvania > Centre County > University Park (0.04)
- North America > United States > Illinois > Cook County > Lemont (0.04)
Numerical simulation of transient heat conduction with moving heat source using Physics Informed Neural Networks
Kalyan, Anirudh, Natarajan, Sundararajan
In this paper, the physics informed neural networks (PINNs) is employed for the numerical simulation of heat transfer involving a moving source. To reduce the computational effort, a new training method is proposed that uses a continuous time-stepping through transfer learning. Within this, the time interval is divided into smaller intervals and a single network is initialized. On this single network each time interval is trained with the initial condition for (n+1)th as the solution obtained at nth time increment. Thus, this framework enables the computation of large temporal intervals without increasing the complexity of the network itself. The proposed framework is used to estimate the temperature distribution in a homogeneous medium with a moving heat source. The results from the proposed framework is compared with traditional finite element method and a good agreement is seen.
- Overview (0.68)
- Research Report (0.50)
Optimal Sensor Placement in Power Transformers Using Physics-Informed Neural Networks
Li, Sirui, Bragone, Federica, Barreau, Matthieu, Laneryd, Tor, Morozovska, Kateryna
Our work aims at simulating and predicting the temperature conditions inside a power transformer using Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs). The predictions obtained are then used to determine the optimal placement for temperature sensors inside the transformer under the constraint of a limited number of sensors, enabling efficient performance monitoring. The method consists of combining PINNs with Mixed Integer Optimization Programming to obtain the optimal temperature reconstruction inside the transformer. First, we extend our PINN model for the thermal modeling of power transformers to solve the heat diffusion equation from 1D to 2D space. Finally, we construct an optimal sensor placement model inside the transformer that can be applied to problems in 1D and 2D.
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- Europe > Sweden > Stockholm > Stockholm (0.04)
- Europe > Sweden > Västmanland County > Västerås (0.04)
- Europe > Serbia > Central Serbia > Belgrade (0.04)
- Energy > Power Industry (0.69)
- Energy > Renewable (0.68)
Decrypting the temperature field in flow boiling with latent diffusion models
Na, UngJin, Seo, JunYoung, Kim, Taeil, Jeon, ByongGuk, Jo, HangJin
Flow boiling plays an important role in enhancing the performance of thermal management systems, including refrigeration, microelectronics cooling, nuclear power plants, and nuclear fission reactors [1, 2]. This phenomenon involves a fluid absorbing heat and undergoing a phase change from liquid to vapor, while supplied with the advection of the bulk flow, significantly boosting the heat transfer efficiency through the utilization of latent heat. The initiation of the phase change is known as the onset of nucleate boiling (ONB) [3]. However, when the liquid fails to rewet the surface, the surface becomes entirely covered by a vapor layer, leading to a significant reduction in heat transfer efficiency. This phenomenon is known as the departure from nucleate boiling (DNB) [4]. The heat transfer process between the ONB and the DNB points can be described using the RPI wall boiling model [5].
- Asia > South Korea > Gyeongsangbuk-do > Pohang (0.05)
- Asia > South Korea > Daejeon > Daejeon (0.04)
Physics-informed Machine Learning for Battery Pack Thermal Management
Liu, Zheng, Jiang, Yuan, Li, Yumeng, Wang, Pingfeng
With the popularity of electric vehicles, the demand for lithium-ion batteries is increasing. Temperature significantly influences the performance and safety of batteries. Battery thermal management systems can effectively control the temperature of batteries; therefore, the performance and safety can be ensured. However, the development process of battery thermal management systems is time-consuming and costly due to the extensive training dataset needed by data-driven models requiring enormous computational costs for finite element analysis. Therefore, a new approach to constructing surrogate models is needed in the era of AI. Physics-informed machine learning enforces the physical laws in surrogate models, making it the perfect candidate for estimating battery pack temperature distribution. In this study, we first developed a 21700 battery pack indirect liquid cooling system with cold plates on the top and bottom with thermal paste surrounding the battery cells. Then, the simplified finite element model was built based on experiment results. Due to the high coolant flow rate, the cold plates can be considered as constant temperature boundaries, while battery cells are the heat sources. The physics-informed convolutional neural network served as a surrogate model to estimate the temperature distribution of the battery pack. The loss function was constructed considering the heat conduction equation based on the finite difference method. The physics-informed loss function helped the convergence of the training process with less data. As a result, the physics-informed convolutional neural network showed more than 15 percents improvement in accuracy compared to the data-driven method with the same training data.
- North America > United States > Illinois > Champaign County > Urbana (0.32)
- North America > United States > Virginia (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York > Tompkins County > Ithaca (0.04)
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- Energy > Energy Storage (1.00)
- Electrical Industrial Apparatus (1.00)
- Transportation > Ground > Road (0.68)
Deep operator neural network applied to efficient computation of asteroid surface temperature and the Yarkovsky effect
Zhao, Shunjing, Lei, Hanlun, Shi, Xian
Surface temperature distribution is crucial for thermal property-based studies about irregular asteroids in our Solar System. While direct numerical simulations could model surface temperatures with high fidelity, they often take a significant amount of computational time, especially for problems where temperature distributions are required to be repeatedly calculated. To this end, deep operator neural network (DeepONet) provides a powerful tool due to its high computational efficiency and generalization ability. In this work, we applied DeepONet to the modelling of asteroid surface temperatures. Results show that the trained network is able to predict temperature with an accuracy of ~1% on average, while the computational cost is five orders of magnitude lower, hence enabling thermal property analysis in a multidimensional parameter space. As a preliminary application, we analyzed the orbital evolution of asteroids through direct N-body simulations embedded with instantaneous Yarkovsky effect inferred by DeepONet-based thermophysical modelling.Taking asteroids (3200) Phaethon and (89433) 2001 WM41 as examples, we show the efficacy and efficiency of our AI-based approach.
- Asia > China > Jiangsu Province > Nanjing (0.04)
- North America > United States > Arizona (0.04)
- Asia > China > Shanghai > Shanghai (0.04)
Integrating Symbolic Neural Networks with Building Physics: A Study and Proposal
Chen, Xia, Lv, Guoquan, Zhuang, Xinwei, Duarte, Carlos, Schiavon, Stefano, Geyer, Philipp
Symbolic neural networks, such as Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN), offer a promising approach for integrating prior knowledge with data-driven methods, making them valuable for addressing inverse problems in scientific and engineering domains. This study explores the application of KAN in building physics, focusing on predictive modeling, knowledge discovery, and continuous learning. Through four case studies, we demonstrate KAN's ability to rediscover fundamental equations, approximate complex formulas, and capture time-dependent dynamics in heat transfer. While there are challenges in extrapolation and interpretability, we highlight KAN's potential to combine advanced modeling methods for knowledge augmentation, which benefits energy efficiency, system optimization, and sustainability assessments beyond the personal knowledge constraints of the modelers. Additionally, we propose a model selection decision tree to guide practitioners in appropriate applications for building physics.
- North America > United States > California > Alameda County > Berkeley (0.04)
- South America > Chile > Santiago Metropolitan Region > Santiago Province > Santiago (0.04)
- North America > Trinidad and Tobago > Trinidad > Arima > Arima (0.04)
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- Construction & Engineering (1.00)
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- Energy > Renewable > Geothermal (0.46)